‘Bitcoin Misery Index’ Indicates Now is A Good Time To Buy

‘Bitcoin Misery Index’ Indicates Now is A Good Time To Buy

The “bitcoin misery index” created by Wall Street strategist Thomas Lee indicates this is a good time to buy bitcoin, according to CNBC. Lee has not changed his midyear price target of $20,000 and his end year price target of $25,000 for bitcoin.

Lee, co-founder of Fundstrat Global Advisors, told CNBC’s “Fast Money” Friday that when the bitcoin misery index falls below 27, bitcoin sees its best 12-month performance. Such a signal comes about every year, the strategist said.

Lowest Index Since September 2011

The index now stands at 18.8 on a scale of 100, making its lowest point since Sept. 6, 2011.
Lee said the index offers a way to measure how happy or said you are owning bitcoin.

The index is intended as a contrarian indicator. When it is low, investors should buy. When it is high, they should sell. The index accounts for the number of winning trades from the total trades. It also accounts for volatility.

At the end of last week, bitcoin’s price fell 24 percent from its Monday high following reports about rising regulatory scrutiny.

The low points signify pain, even though they are short-term signals. Long-term, Lee said the low points could point to a great entry way into bitcoin.

What Past Patterns Foretell

The last four times the index fell below 27 on the bitcoin misery index, bitcoin never failed to rise 12 months later, Lee said.

Last week was a tough one for bitcoin. A major Hong Kong exchange reported on Wednesday that some accounts might have been compromised. At the same time, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission increased its scrutiny of cryptocurrency wallets and exchanges. On Thursday, Japan suspended two cryptocurrency exchanges from operating for a month and called for business improvements at five other exchanges.

It was also reported Wednesday that the trustee of the now defunct Mt. Gox exchange sold about $400 million worth of bitcoin and Bitcoin Cash.

Bitcoin traded more than 3.5 percent lower Friday morning, around $8,900. While it remains more than 800 percent higher than where it was a year ago, it has lost more than 50 percent from its record high of more than $19,000 in mid-December.

Lee said it is very uncommon to be this unhappy owning bitcoin. The last such periods were November of 2012, September of 2016 and January of 2015.

In each case, bitcoin was higher in the following month.

Also read: Strategist Tom Lee predicts new all-time highs for bitcoin in July

Lee: Hold On One To Three Weeks

Lee said the index is telling people to wait it out for the next one or two or three weeks.

He is the only major Wall Street strategist to issue regular bitcoin reports and formal price targets. Prior to co-founding Fundstrat, he was chief equity strategist at J.P. Morgan Chase.

Lee maintained his midyear price target of $20,000 and his end year price target of $25,000 for bitcoin.

Featured image from Shutterstock.

12.03.2018 / 23:00 137
Thomson Reuters and Marketpsych Launch Bitcoin Sentiment Index Thomson Reuters and Marketpsych Launch
Thomson Reuters Corp has announced the launch of a gauge tracking the sentiment of cryptocurrency traders. The metric will track and examine
Feeling Bullish? Even The ‘Bitcoin Misery Index’ Says Don’t Be Miserable Feeling Bullish? Even The ‘Bitcoin
Fundstrat analyst and infamous Bitcoin bull Tom Lee has already seen success from his new ‘Bitcoin Misery Index’ which told traders to buy Friday.
The Bitcoin Misery Index: Finding An Entry Way With Sadness The Bitcoin Misery Index: Finding An
This week the Wall Street analyst and Fundstrat executive, Tom Lee, has revealed a new index that helps cryptocurrency investors know the right time
Wall Street Analyst Creates Bitcoin Misery Index For Traders Wall Street Analyst Creates Bitcoin
Wall Street analyst Tom Lee creates a “Misery Index” that lets traders know how “miserable” Bitcoin hodlers are based on current prices. Wall
Coinbase Launches Cryptocurrency Index Fund, and Yes, You Can Invest with Bitcoin Coinbase Launches Cryptocurrency Index
Cryptocurrency brokerage platform and exchange operator Coinbase is launching a cryptocurrency index fund, and yes, you can invest with Bitcoin.
Coinbase Launches Index Fund for Digital Currencies Coinbase Launches Index Fund for
Cryptocurrency exchange Coinbase has announced that it is launching an index fund for digital currencies. In a blog announcement, the San
Comments (0)
Add a comment
Comment on